Recently, according to media reports, the latest statistics show thatThe number of deaths from new crown infections in the United States surpassed the number of deaths caused by the 1918 pandemic in the United States on the 20th.
The cumulative number of confirmed cases in the United States has exceeded 42.38 million and the number of deaths exceeds 678,000.
According to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and U.S. media reports, the 1918 pandemic killed about 675,000 people in the United States. Statistics from Johns Hopkins University in the United States show that there have been nearly 4.7 million cumulative deaths from new coronary pneumonia worldwide so far.
Although the United States accounts for only about 4% of the world's population, the number of deaths exceeds 14% of the world's. Statistics also show that over the past week, the average daily death toll from new coronary pneumonia in the United States has exceeded 1,900.
According to reports, the Chinese Academy of Sciences preprint platform (ChinaXiv) released on the 22nd, based on big data modeling analysis of the origin of the new coronal pneumonia outbreak results show that the United States new coronal pneumonia outbreak is more likely to start around September 2019.
The results show that for the 12 northeastern U.S. states, the 50 percent chance of the first infection from new coronary pneumonia occurred mostly between August and October 2019, as early as April 26, 2019 in Rhode Island, and as late as November 30, 2019 in Delaware, ahead of the U.S. officially announced the first U.S. confirmed case date of January 20, 2020.
The results show that the high probability of an outbreak of new coronary pneumonia in the United States begins around September 2019.
Calculations show that the 50% probability of the first infection in Wuhan, China, is December 20, 2019, and the 50% probability of the first infection in Zhejiang Province, China, is December 23, 2019.
It is concluded that the high probability of an outbreak of new crown pneumonia in China will begin in late December 2019. This conclusion is basically consistent with the epidemiological findings, which prove that the calculation method is accurate and reliable.